Since we last wrote, the world has realised that inflation really is ‘a thing’. Currently UK CPI has reached 8.6% but for like-for-like comparison, RPI is now already 11.1%% (while RPI is bad statistics, pension funds are current suing the Govt to reinstate this for index-linked bonds).
So last week, we saw the Fed raise by 75bp, leaving the Red Funds Rate at 1.75%, well below its level throughout the 1990s. While the BoE was expected to raise rates by at least 50bp, instead they opted for 25bp, deciding that base rates of 1.25% is enough to quell inflation; for reference, this means that UK real rates are now -ve 7.25%. It’s good to see the Bank of England having its independence tested but, like my waiting for my children’s end of year exam results, I’m worried about the outcome.
This briefing has been prepared using publicly available information and should not be relied upon for any investment decision. Numis does not make any representation or warranty, either express or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information contained in this briefing. Numis, its affiliates, directors, employees and/or agents expressly disclaim any and all liability relating to or resulting from the use of all or any part of this briefing or any of the information contained herein. This briefing does not purport to be all-inclusive or to contain all of the information that recipients may require. The information contained herein is subject to change and Numis accepts no responsibility for updating it.
The largest corporate broker in the UK by number of listed clients
Capital raising specialists in services including IPOs, equity issuance and block trades
Providing M&A expertise through a full suite of bespoke advice and solutions
Expert debt advice focused on robust and efficient corporate solutions
Drawing from our experience to deliver strong outcomes at IPO
Enabling the world’s most ambitious private companies to achieve their ambitions
We are the leading provider of in-depth, high quality research on UK listed companies
The largest, most experienced Sales Trading and Trading teams covering UK equities
Proactive advice combining in-depth research, distribution and execution